East West Bancorp, Inc. logo EWBC - East West Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $145.63 DETAILS
HIGH: $164.00
LOW: $123.00
MEDIAN: $151.00
CONSENSUS: $145.63
UPSIDE: 16.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.7% below fair value
Current Price $125.53
Bear Case $97.34 22.5% downside ($97.34 - $125.53) / $125.53 = -22.5% ROTCE 11.8% → 1.37x TBV
Fair Value $139.06 10.8% upside ($139.06 - $125.53) / $125.53 = 10.8% ROTCE 15.7% → 2.07x TBV
Bull Case $180.78 44.0% upside ($180.78 - $125.53) / $125.53 = 44.0% ROTCE 18.1% → 2.48x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

15.7%
9.7%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (15.7%) vs. cost of equity (9.7%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.04x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 15.7% vs. 9.7% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.07x on $61.56 tangible book, implying $139.06 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $145.63
Analyst Range $123.00 – $164.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 5%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly