East West Bancorp, Inc. logo EWBC - East West Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $130.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $150.00
LOW: $123.00
MEDIAN: $126.50
CONSENSUS: $130.67
UPSIDE: 6.13%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 10.1% below fair value
Current Price $123.12
Bear Case $95.87 22.1% downside ($95.87 - $123.12) / $123.12 = -22.1% ROTCE 11.8% → 1.39x TBV
Fair Value $136.96 11.2% upside ($136.96 - $123.12) / $123.12 = 11.2% ROTCE 15.7% → 2.09x TBV
Bull Case $178.05 44.6% upside ($178.05 - $123.12) / $123.12 = 44.6% ROTCE 18.1% → 2.51x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

15.7%
9.6%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (15.7%) vs. cost of equity (9.6%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $130.67 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $136.96 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly