East West Bancorp, Inc. logo EWBC - East West Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $130.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $140.00
LOW: $123.00
MEDIAN: $128.00
CONSENSUS: $130.00
DOWNSIDE: 1.17%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 3.8% below fair value
Current Price $131.54
Bear Case $95.75 27.2% downside ($95.75 - $131.54) / $131.54 = -27.2% ROTCE 11.8% → 1.44x TBV
Fair Value $136.80 4.0% upside ($136.80 - $131.54) / $131.54 = 4.0% ROTCE 15.7% → 2.16x TBV
Bull Case $177.84 35.2% upside ($177.84 - $131.54) / $131.54 = 35.2% ROTCE 18.1% → 2.60x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

15.7%
9.4%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (15.7%) vs. cost of equity (9.4%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.14x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $130.00 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $136.80 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly