East West Bancorp, Inc. logo EWBC - East West Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $142.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $155.00
LOW: $123.00
MEDIAN: $144.00
CONSENSUS: $142.75
UPSIDE: 9.45%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 6.2% below fair value
Current Price $130.43
Bear Case $97.34 25.4% downside ($97.34 - $130.43) / $130.43 = -25.4% ROTCE 11.8% → 1.43x TBV
Fair Value $139.06 6.6% upside ($139.06 - $130.43) / $130.43 = 6.6% ROTCE 15.7% → 2.16x TBV
Bull Case $180.78 38.6% upside ($180.78 - $130.43) / $130.43 = 38.6% ROTCE 18.1% → 2.59x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

15.7%
9.4%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (15.7%) vs. cost of equity (9.4%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.12x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 15.7% vs. 9.4% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.16x on $61.56 tangible book, implying $139.06 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $142.75
Analyst Range $123.00 – $155.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 3%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly