EVERTEC, Inc. logo EVTC - EVERTEC, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $29.50
CONSENSUS: $29.50
DOWNSIDE: 2.54%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 10.9% below fair value
Current Price $30.27
Bear Case $19.13 36.8% downside ($19.13 - $30.27) / $30.27 = -36.8% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $33.98 12.3% upside ($33.98 - $30.27) / $30.27 = 12.3% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $49.65 64.0% upside ($49.65 - $30.27) / $30.27 = 64.0% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 23.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.3% vs our 12.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $29.50 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $33.98 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions