EVERTEC, Inc. logo EVTC - EVERTEC, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $34.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $34.00
MEDIAN: $34.00
CONSENSUS: $34.00
UPSIDE: 14.75%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 53.0% below fair value
Current Price $29.63
Bear Case $38.78 30.9% upside ($38.78 - $29.63) / $29.63 = 30.9% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $63.04 112.8% upside ($63.04 - $29.63) / $29.63 = 112.8% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $88.62 199.1% upside ($88.62 - $29.63) / $29.63 = 199.1% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 15.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 5.1% vs our 12.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $63.04 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $34.00
Analyst Range $34.00 – $34.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 85%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $34.00 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 85% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions