EVRG - Evergy, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$92.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$97.00
LOW:
$87.00
MEDIAN:
$92.50
CONSENSUS:
$92.25
UPSIDE:
13.86%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
3.66$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
22.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.66, the base-case value is $58.56 per share. DDM cross-check: $71.76.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (18 analysts)
$92.25
Analyst Range
$87.00 – $97.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
37%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $71.76 (above our primary estimate by 23%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $92.25 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples