Entravision Communications logo EVC - Entravision Communications

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 2
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 81.7% above fair value
Current Price $11.14
Bear Case $4.96 55.5% downside ($4.96 - $11.14) / $11.14 = -55.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $6.13 45.0% downside ($6.13 - $11.14) / $11.14 = -45.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $7.16 35.7% downside ($7.16 - $11.14) / $11.14 = -35.7% 8% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 31%
Implied Market Multiple 23.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 12.7% vs our 5.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $6.13 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions