Entergy Corporation logo ETR - Entergy Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $122.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $135.00
LOW: $94.00
MEDIAN: $123.00
CONSENSUS: $122.00
UPSIDE: 6.04%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 43.1% above fair value
Current Price $115.05
Bear Case $70.34 38.9% downside ($70.34 - $115.05) / $115.05 = -38.9% $3.91 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $80.39 30.1% downside ($80.39 - $115.05) / $115.05 = -30.1% $3.91 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $90.44 21.4% downside ($90.44 - $115.05) / $115.05 = -21.4% $3.91 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
3.91$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 29.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $122.00 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $80.39 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $122.00 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 49% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples