Entergy Corporation logo ETR - Entergy Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $123.91 DETAILS
HIGH: $135.00
LOW: $105.00
MEDIAN: $123.00
CONSENSUS: $123.91
UPSIDE: 15.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 71.4% above fair value
Current Price $107.23
Bear Case $54.74 49.0% downside ($54.74 - $107.23) / $107.23 = -49.0% $3.91 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $62.56 41.7% downside ($62.56 - $107.23) / $107.23 = -41.7% $3.91 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $70.38 34.4% downside ($70.38 - $107.23) / $107.23 = -34.4% $3.91 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
3.91$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 27.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.91, the base-case value is $62.56 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (32 analysts) $123.91
Analyst Range $105.00 – $135.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 50%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $123.91 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 50% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples