Entergy Corporation logo ETR - Entergy Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $116.46 DETAILS
HIGH: $135.00
LOW: $94.00
MEDIAN: $115.00
CONSENSUS: $116.46
UPSIDE: 3.61%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 42.8% above fair value
Current Price $112.40
Bear Case $68.89 38.7% downside ($68.89 - $112.40) / $112.40 = -38.7% $3.91 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $78.73 30.0% downside ($78.73 - $112.40) / $112.40 = -30.0% $3.91 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $88.57 21.2% downside ($88.57 - $112.40) / $112.40 = -21.2% $3.91 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
3.91$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 28.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $116.46 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $78.73 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $116.46 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples