AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. as a Platform & Compounding FCF business and values it using Two-stage FCF DCF, then compares the result to the current market price to flag ESP as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.'s fair value?

Fair value for ESP comes from a Two-stage FCF DCF model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Platform & Compounding FCF classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value ESP?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. ESP was classified as Platform & Compounding FCF and is valued using Two-stage FCF DCF, built from ESP's most recent reported fundamentals.

ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 52.6% below fair value

Current Price $63.69

Bear Case $101.94 60.1% upside ($101.94 - $63.69) / $63.69 = 60.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $134.34 110.9% upside ($134.34 - $63.69) / $63.69 = 110.9% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $166.66 161.7% upside ($166.66 - $63.69) / $63.69 = 161.7% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

10.6%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%

Implied Market Multiple 9.3x

Market is pricing in (growth) -1.6% vs our 10.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $134.34 per share.

Warnings

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions