ES - Eversource Energy
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$73.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$76.00
LOW:
$72.00
MEDIAN:
$74.00
CONSENSUS:
$73.80
UPSIDE:
3.87%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
4.56$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.56, the base-case value is $72.96 per share. DDM cross-check: $90.06.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$73.80
Analyst Range
$72.00 – $76.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
1%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $90.06 (above our primary estimate by 23%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples