Eversource Energy logo ES - Eversource Energy

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 16
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $73.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $76.00
LOW: $72.00
MEDIAN: $74.00
CONSENSUS: $73.80
UPSIDE: 3.87%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 2.6% below fair value
Current Price $71.05
Bear Case $63.84 10.1% downside ($63.84 - $71.05) / $71.05 = -10.1% $4.56 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $72.96 2.7% upside ($72.96 - $71.05) / $71.05 = 2.7% $4.56 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $82.08 15.5% upside ($82.08 - $71.05) / $71.05 = 15.5% $4.56 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
4.56$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.56, the base-case value is $72.96 per share. DDM cross-check: $90.06.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $73.80
Analyst Range $72.00 – $76.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $90.06 (above our primary estimate by 23%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples