Eversource Energy logo ES - Eversource Energy

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 15
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $75.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $79.00
LOW: $72.00
MEDIAN: $76.00
CONSENSUS: $75.83
UPSIDE: 8.33%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 5.0% below fair value
Current Price $70.00
Bear Case $64.47 7.9% downside ($64.47 - $70.00) / $70.00 = -7.9% $4.56 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $73.68 5.3% upside ($73.68 - $70.00) / $70.00 = 5.3% $4.56 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $82.89 18.4% upside ($82.89 - $70.00) / $70.00 = 18.4% $4.56 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
4.56$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $75.83 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $73.68 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $90.06 (above our primary estimate by 23%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples