ES - Eversource Energy
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$75.83
DETAILS
HIGH:
$79.00
LOW:
$72.00
MEDIAN:
$76.00
CONSENSUS:
$75.83
UPSIDE:
8.33%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
4.56$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $75.83 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $73.68 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $90.06 (above our primary estimate by 23%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples