EQPT - EquipmentShare.com Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$44.63
DETAILS
HIGH:
$63.00
LOW:
$31.00
MEDIAN:
$41.00
CONSENSUS:
$44.63
UPSIDE:
115.29%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Distressed or Transitioning
75% confidence
Primary model: Current EPS × Depressed Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
7.5x
Key Value Driver
Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired
Implied Market Multiple
5455.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Stock is 42% below 52-week high. Using current EPS at a 8x depressed multiple, base-case value is $0.03. Wide scenario range: $0.02–$0.04.
Warnings
Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Debt per share ($15.37) is more than half the stock price. With this much debt on a struggling business, the paths to recovery for shareholders are narrow.
Key Risks
- Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
- M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
- Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case