Equinix, Inc. logo EQIX - Equinix, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 39
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $1,246.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $1,400.00
LOW: $1,135.00
MEDIAN: $1,237.50
CONSENSUS: $1,246.25
UPSIDE: 18.00%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 13.1% below fair value
Current Price $1056.10
Bear Case $990.13 6.2% downside ($990.13 - $1,056.10) / $1,056.10 = -6.2% $34.62 FFO × 29x
Fair Value $1,215.16 15.1% upside ($1,215.16 - $1,056.10) / $1,056.10 = 15.1% $34.62 FFO × 35x
Bull Case $1,440.19 36.4% upside ($1,440.19 - $1,056.10) / $1,056.10 = 36.4% $34.62 FFO × 42x

Adjust Assumptions

35.1x
34.62$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($34.62) × specialty P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 30.5x

Plain-Language Summary

At $34.62 FFO/share with a 35x specialty REIT multiple, the base-case value is $1215.16 per share. Dividend yield: 1.9%.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (53 analysts) $1246.25
Analyst Range $1135.00 – $1400.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 2%

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 1.9% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify