Equinix, Inc. logo EQIX - Equinix, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 38
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $1,193.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $1,340.00
LOW: $894.00
MEDIAN: $1,213.00
CONSENSUS: $1,193.50
UPSIDE: 13.36%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 12.8% below fair value
Current Price $1052.86
Bear Case $983.95 6.5% downside ($983.95 - $1,052.86) / $1,052.86 = -6.5% $34.62 FFO × 29x
Fair Value $1,207.58 14.7% upside ($1,207.58 - $1,052.86) / $1,052.86 = 14.7% $34.62 FFO × 35x
Bull Case $1,431.21 35.9% upside ($1,431.21 - $1,052.86) / $1,052.86 = 35.9% $34.62 FFO × 42x

Adjust Assumptions

35.1x
34.62$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($34.62) × specialty P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 30.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $1193.50 from 52 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $1207.58 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 1.9% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify