Equitable Holdings, Inc. logo EQH - Equitable Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 19
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $62.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $68.00
LOW: $52.00
MEDIAN: $64.00
CONSENSUS: $62.43
UPSIDE: 17.88%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.1% below fair value
Current Price $52.96
Bear Case $68.80 29.9% upside ($68.80 - $52.96) / $52.96 = 29.9% ROTCE 4.0% → 0.30x TBV
Fair Value $98.28 85.6% upside ($98.28 - $52.96) / $52.96 = 85.6% ROTCE 0.0% → 0.30x TBV
Bull Case $127.76 141.2% upside ($127.76 - $52.96) / $52.96 = 141.2% ROTCE 0.0% → 0.30x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

0.0%
10.3%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (0.0%) vs. cost of equity (10.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.4x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 0.0% vs. 10.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.30x on $37.80 tangible book, implying $98.28 per share. DDM cross-check: $66.51.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (21 analysts) $62.43
Analyst Range $52.00 – $68.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 57%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (0.0%) is below the minimum investors require (10.3%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Dividend-based valuation: $66.51 (32% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $62.43 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 57% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly