EQH - Equitable Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$59.86
DETAILS
HIGH:
$66.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$62.00
CONSENSUS:
$59.86
UPSIDE:
22.16%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
0.0%
10.3%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (0.0%) vs. cost of equity (10.3%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.41x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $59.86 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $43.67 per share.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (0.0%) is below the minimum investors require (10.3%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Dividend-based valuation: $64.38 (68% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $59.86 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 36% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly