EPD - Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$41.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$45.00
LOW:
$38.00
MEDIAN:
$40.50
CONSENSUS:
$41.00
UPSIDE:
5.59%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.9x
2.66$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
14.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.66, the base-case value is $42.37 per share. DDM cross-check: $50.92.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (45 analysts)
$41.00
Analyst Range
$38.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
3%
Warnings
The company pays out 83% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $50.92 (above our primary estimate by 20%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples