Enterprise Products Partners L.P. logo EPD - Enterprise Products Partners L.P.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 34
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $41.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $40.50
CONSENSUS: $41.00
UPSIDE: 5.59%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 8.4% below fair value
Current Price $38.83
Bear Case $33.90 12.7% downside ($33.90 - $38.83) / $38.83 = -12.7% $2.66 × 13x P/E
Fair Value $42.37 9.1% upside ($42.37 - $38.83) / $38.83 = 9.1% $2.66 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $50.85 30.9% upside ($50.85 - $38.83) / $38.83 = 30.9% $2.66 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.9x
2.66$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.66, the base-case value is $42.37 per share. DDM cross-check: $50.92.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (45 analysts) $41.00
Analyst Range $38.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 3%

Warnings

The company pays out 83% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $50.92 (above our primary estimate by 20%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples