EPC - Edgewell Personal Care Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$23.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$26.00
LOW:
$21.00
MEDIAN:
$23.50
CONSENSUS:
$23.50
DOWNSIDE:
15.22%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
2.68$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
10.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $23.50 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $40.07 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 406%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 113% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $23.50 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 94% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples