EPC - Edgewell Personal Care Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$29.83
DETAILS
HIGH:
$34.00
LOW:
$26.00
MEDIAN:
$29.50
CONSENSUS:
$29.83
UPSIDE:
4.08%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
1.97$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
14.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.97, the base-case value is $33.49 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$29.83
Analyst Range
$26.00 – $34.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
12%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 272%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 113% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples