ENS - EnerSys
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$265.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$280.00
LOW:
$250.00
MEDIAN:
$265.00
CONSENSUS:
$265.00
UPSIDE:
48.78%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
7.7$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.70, the base-case value is $123.20 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$265.00
Analyst Range
$250.00 – $280.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
54%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $265.00 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 54% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples