Energizer Holdings, Inc. logo ENR - Energizer Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 15
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $23.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $28.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $24.00
CONSENSUS: $23.00
UPSIDE: 26.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 65.3% above fair value
Current Price $18.18
Bear Case $10.59 41.7% downside ($10.59 - $18.18) / $18.18 = -41.7% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $11.00 39.5% downside ($11.00 - $18.18) / $18.18 = -39.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $16.97 6.6% downside ($16.97 - $18.18) / $18.18 = -6.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 15.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $23.00 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $11.00 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $23.00 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 70% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions