Enbridge Inc. logo ENB - Enbridge Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $61.63 DETAILS
HIGH: $79.50
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $58.50
CONSENSUS: $61.63
UPSIDE: 28.37%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 21.5% above fair value
Current Price $48.01
Bear Case $31.61 34.2% downside ($31.61 - $48.01) / $48.01 = -34.2% $2.31 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $39.51 17.7% downside ($39.51 - $48.01) / $48.01 = -17.7% $2.31 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $47.41 1.2% downside ($47.41 - $48.01) / $48.01 = -1.2% $2.31 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.1x
2.31$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.31, the base-case value is $39.51 per share. DDM cross-check: $40.19.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (25 analysts) $61.63
Analyst Range $50.00 – $79.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 36%

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 120% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $61.63 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 36% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from CAD into USD using USDCAD at 0.7140 USD per CAD.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples