EIX - Edison International
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$70.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$77.00
LOW:
$62.00
MEDIAN:
$70.00
CONSENSUS:
$70.60
UPSIDE:
30.79%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
11.55$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
4.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $11.55, the base-case value is $184.80 per share. DDM cross-check: $106.50.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (37 analysts)
$70.60
Analyst Range
$62.00 – $77.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
162%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $106.50 (below our primary estimate by 42%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $70.60 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 162% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples