Edison International logo EIX - Edison International

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 17
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $42.00
MEDIAN: $62.00
CONSENSUS: $60.25
UPSIDE: 7.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 69.7% below fair value
Current Price $55.93
Bear Case $161.70 189.1% upside ($161.70 - $55.93) / $55.93 = 189.1% $11.55 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $184.80 230.4% upside ($184.80 - $55.93) / $55.93 = 230.4% $11.55 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $207.90 271.7% upside ($207.90 - $55.93) / $55.93 = 271.7% $11.55 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
11.55$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 4.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $11.55, the base-case value is $184.80 per share. DDM cross-check: $108.76.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $60.25
Analyst Range $42.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 207%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $108.76 (below our primary estimate by 41%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $60.25 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 207% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples