Edison International logo EIX - Edison International

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 15
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $77.00
LOW: $62.00
MEDIAN: $70.00
CONSENSUS: $70.60
UPSIDE: 30.79%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 70.8% below fair value
Current Price $53.98
Bear Case $161.70 199.6% upside ($161.70 - $53.98) / $53.98 = 199.6% $11.55 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $184.80 242.3% upside ($184.80 - $53.98) / $53.98 = 242.3% $11.55 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $207.90 285.1% upside ($207.90 - $53.98) / $53.98 = 285.1% $11.55 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
11.55$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 4.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $11.55, the base-case value is $184.80 per share. DDM cross-check: $106.50.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $70.60
Analyst Range $62.00 – $77.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 162%

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $106.50 (below our primary estimate by 42%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $70.60 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 162% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples