EHC - Encompass Health Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$150.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$155.00
LOW:
$144.00
MEDIAN:
$151.00
CONSENSUS:
$150.25
UPSIDE:
24.08%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
5.54$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.54, the base-case value is $94.42 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$150.25
Analyst Range
$144.00 – $155.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
37%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $150.25 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples