EG - Everest Group, Ltd.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$402.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$484.00
LOW:
$360.00
MEDIAN:
$392.50
CONSENSUS:
$402.25
UPSIDE:
6.25%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
11.4%
6.0%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (11.4%) vs. cost of equity (6.0%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.08x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 11.4% vs. 6.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.72x on $351.62 tangible book, implying $1307.05 per share. DDM cross-check: $582.51.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$402.25
Analyst Range
$360.00 – $484.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
225%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $582.51 (55% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $402.25 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 225% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly