Everest Group, Ltd. logo EG - Everest Group, Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $402.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $484.00
LOW: $360.00
MEDIAN: $392.50
CONSENSUS: $402.25
UPSIDE: 6.25%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 71.0% below fair value
Current Price $378.61
Bear Case $804.48 112.5% upside ($804.48 - $378.61) / $378.61 = 112.5% ROTCE 8.6% → 2.29x TBV
Fair Value $1,307.05 245.2% upside ($1,307.05 - $378.61) / $378.61 = 245.2% ROTCE 11.4% → 3.72x TBV
Bull Case $1,406.46 271.5% upside ($1,406.46 - $378.61) / $378.61 = 271.5% ROTCE 13.1% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

11.4%
6.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (11.4%) vs. cost of equity (6.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.08x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 11.4% vs. 6.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.72x on $351.62 tangible book, implying $1307.05 per share. DDM cross-check: $582.51.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $402.25
Analyst Range $360.00 – $484.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 225%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $582.51 (55% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $402.25 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 225% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly