Everest Re Group, Ltd. logo EG - Everest Re Group, Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $356.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $377.00
LOW: $332.00
MEDIAN: $360.00
CONSENSUS: $356.75
UPSIDE: 1.15%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 64.4% below fair value
Current Price $352.71
Bear Case $609.58 72.8% upside ($609.58 - $352.71) / $352.71 = 72.8% ROTCE 8.6% → 2.10x TBV
Fair Value $990.39 180.8% upside ($990.39 - $352.71) / $352.71 = 180.8% ROTCE 11.4% → 3.42x TBV
Bull Case $1,159.24 228.7% upside ($1,159.24 - $352.71) / $352.71 = 228.7% ROTCE 13.1% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

11.4%
6.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (11.4%) vs. cost of equity (6.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $356.75 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $990.39 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $654.73 (46% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $356.75 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 237% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly