Excelerate Energy, Inc. logo EE - Excelerate Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 8
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $43.71 DETAILS
HIGH: $49.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $43.00
CONSENSUS: $43.71
UPSIDE: 11.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 7.4% above fair value
Current Price $39.20
Bear Case $29.20 25.5% downside ($29.20 - $39.20) / $39.20 = -25.5% $1.62 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $36.50 6.9% downside ($36.50 - $39.20) / $39.20 = -6.9% $1.62 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $43.79 11.7% upside ($43.79 - $39.20) / $39.20 = 11.7% $1.62 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
1.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 24.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.62, the base-case value is $36.50 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $43.71
Analyst Range $38.00 – $49.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 16%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples