Excelerate Energy, Inc. logo EE - Excelerate Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 8
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $44.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $44.00
CONSENSUS: $44.50
UPSIDE: 28.02%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 4.8% below fair value
Current Price $34.76
Bear Case $29.20 16.0% downside ($29.20 - $34.76) / $34.76 = -16.0% $1.62 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $36.50 5.0% upside ($36.50 - $34.76) / $34.76 = 5.0% $1.62 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $43.79 26.0% upside ($43.79 - $34.76) / $34.76 = 26.0% $1.62 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
1.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.62, the base-case value is $36.50 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $44.50
Analyst Range $38.00 – $50.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 18%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples