EDU - New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$56.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$56.50
LOW:
$56.50
MEDIAN:
$56.50
CONSENSUS:
$56.50
DOWNSIDE:
5.06%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
3.0$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.00, the base-case value is $51.00 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (24 analysts)
$56.50
Analyst Range
$56.50 – $56.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
10%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples