Consolidated Edison, Inc. logo ED - Consolidated Edison, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 16
SELL 7
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $108.55 DETAILS
HIGH: $118.00
LOW: $97.00
MEDIAN: $110.00
CONSENSUS: $108.55
UPSIDE: 0.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 14.5% above fair value
Current Price $108.54
Bear Case $82.97 23.6% downside ($82.97 - $108.54) / $108.54 = -23.6% $5.64 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $94.82 12.6% downside ($94.82 - $108.54) / $108.54 = -12.6% $5.64 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $106.67 1.7% downside ($106.67 - $108.54) / $108.54 = -1.7% $5.64 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
5.64$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $108.55 from 27 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $94.82 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $60.28 (below our primary estimate by 33%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples