DXPE - DXP Enterprises, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$187.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$220.00
LOW:
$154.00
MEDIAN:
$187.00
CONSENSUS:
$187.00
UPSIDE:
0.58%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.1%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (11% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
37.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
17.4%
vs our 11.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $99.81 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (7 analysts)
$187.00
Analyst Range
$154.00 – $220.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
47%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $187.00 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 47% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions