DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. logo DV - DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 21
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.47 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $13.60
CONSENSUS: $13.47
UPSIDE: 1.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 1.0% above fair value
Current Price $13.30
Bear Case $10.44 21.5% downside ($10.44 - $13.30) / $13.30 = -21.5% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $13.17 1.0% downside ($13.17 - $13.30) / $13.30 = -1.0% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $15.75 18.4% upside ($15.75 - $13.30) / $13.30 = 18.4% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 19.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.8% vs our 8.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $13.17 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (34 analysts) $13.47
Analyst Range $12.00 – $14.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 2%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 206% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions