DT Midstream, Inc. logo DTM - DT Midstream, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $150.71 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $127.00
MEDIAN: $145.00
CONSENSUS: $150.71
UPSIDE: 21.53%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 86.6% above fair value
Current Price $124.01
Bear Case $53.16 57.1% downside ($53.16 - $124.01) / $124.01 = -57.1% $4.43 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $66.45 46.4% downside ($66.45 - $124.01) / $124.01 = -46.4% $4.43 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $79.74 35.7% downside ($79.74 - $124.01) / $124.01 = -35.7% $4.43 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.43$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 28.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.43, the base-case value is $66.45 per share. DDM cross-check: $253.45.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $150.71
Analyst Range $127.00 – $170.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 56%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $253.45 (above our primary estimate by 281%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $150.71 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 56% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples