DTE - DTE Energy Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$156.29
DETAILS
HIGH:
$172.00
LOW:
$143.00
MEDIAN:
$154.00
CONSENSUS:
$156.29
UPSIDE:
15.04%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
7.06$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.06, the base-case value is $112.96 per share. DDM cross-check: $209.66.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (46 analysts)
$156.29
Analyst Range
$143.00 – $172.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
28%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $209.66 (above our primary estimate by 86%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $156.29 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 28% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples