DTE - DTE Energy Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$152.71
DETAILS
HIGH:
$172.00
LOW:
$134.00
MEDIAN:
$154.00
CONSENSUS:
$152.71
UPSIDE:
18.99%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
7.06$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
18.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.06, the base-case value is $112.96 per share. DDM cross-check: $209.66.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (46 analysts)
$152.71
Analyst Range
$134.00 – $172.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
26%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $209.66 (above our primary estimate by 86%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $152.71 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 26% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples