DTE Energy Company logo DTE - DTE Energy Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 21
HOLD 25
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $159.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $172.00
LOW: $150.00
MEDIAN: $158.00
CONSENSUS: $159.43
UPSIDE: 6.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.9% above fair value
Current Price $149.50
Bear Case $111.87 25.2% downside ($111.87 - $149.50) / $149.50 = -25.2% $7.15 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $127.85 14.5% downside ($127.85 - $149.50) / $149.50 = -14.5% $7.15 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $143.83 3.8% downside ($143.83 - $149.50) / $149.50 = -3.8% $7.15 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
7.15$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $159.43 from 46 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $127.85 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $209.66 (above our primary estimate by 83%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $159.43 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 28% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples