DTE Energy Company logo DTE - DTE Energy Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 21
HOLD 25
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $157.63 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $146.00
MEDIAN: $157.50
CONSENSUS: $157.63
UPSIDE: 8.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 13.7% above fair value
Current Price $144.73
Bear Case $111.40 23.0% downside ($111.40 - $144.73) / $144.73 = -23.0% $7.15 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $127.31 12.0% downside ($127.31 - $144.73) / $144.73 = -12.0% $7.15 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $143.23 1.0% downside ($143.23 - $144.73) / $144.73 = -1.0% $7.15 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
7.15$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $157.63 from 46 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $127.31 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $207.95 (above our primary estimate by 82%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $157.63 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 27% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples