Viant Technology Inc. logo DSP - Viant Technology Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 11
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $14.50
MEDIAN: $18.25
CONSENSUS: $17.75
UPSIDE: 35.29%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 12.1% above fair value
Current Price $13.12
Bear Case $9.86 24.8% downside ($9.86 - $13.12) / $13.12 = -24.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $11.70 10.8% downside ($11.70 - $13.12) / $13.12 = -10.8% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $13.40 2.2% upside ($13.40 - $13.12) / $13.12 = 2.2% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 20.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.6% vs our 7.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $11.70 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $17.75
Analyst Range $14.50 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 34%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 103% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $17.75 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions