DSP - Viant Technology Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$17.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.00
LOW:
$14.50
MEDIAN:
$18.25
CONSENSUS:
$17.75
UPSIDE:
35.29%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
7.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (8% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
37%
Implied Market Multiple
20.9x
Market is pricing in (growth)
9.6%
vs our 7.6% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $11.70 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (13 analysts)
$17.75
Analyst Range
$14.50 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
34%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 103% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $17.75 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions