DOX - Amdocs Limited
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$71.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$71.00
LOW:
$71.00
MEDIAN:
$71.00
CONSENSUS:
$71.00
UPSIDE:
14.13%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
5.05$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
12.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.05, the base-case value is $108.58 per share. DDM cross-check: $695.47.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$71.00
Analyst Range
$71.00 – $71.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
53%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $695.47 (above our primary estimate by 541%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $71.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 53% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples