DOCS - Doximity, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$27.63
DETAILS
HIGH:
$50.00
LOW:
$18.00
MEDIAN:
$25.50
CONSENSUS:
$27.63
UPSIDE:
35.31%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
6.1%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (6% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
13.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
3.8%
vs our 6.1% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $27.63 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $24.47 per share.
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 62% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions