DOC - Healthpeak Properties, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$22.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$24.00
LOW:
$20.00
MEDIAN:
$22.00
CONSENSUS:
$22.00
UPSIDE:
19.05%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.59) × healthcare P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
11.7x
Plain-Language Summary
At $1.59 FFO/share with a 21x healthcare REIT multiple, the base-case value is $25.66 per share. Dividend yield: 2.2%. DDM cross-check: $7.58.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (41 analysts)
$22.00
Analyst Range
$20.00 – $24.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
17%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $7.58 (70% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify