DOC - Healthpeak Properties, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$22.38
DETAILS
HIGH:
$24.00
LOW:
$19.00
MEDIAN:
$22.50
CONSENSUS:
$22.38
UPSIDE:
8.38%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.64) × healthcare P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
12.6x
Plain-Language Summary
At $1.64 FFO/share with a 21x healthcare REIT multiple, the base-case value is $26.45 per share. Dividend yield: 2.0%. DDM cross-check: $7.58.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (41 analysts)
$22.38
Analyst Range
$19.00 – $24.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
18%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 2.0% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.
Dividend-based valuation: $7.58 (71% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify