DOC - Healthpeak Properties, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$22.14
DETAILS
HIGH:
$24.00
LOW:
$19.00
MEDIAN:
$22.00
CONSENSUS:
$22.14
DOWNSIDE:
2.04%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.64) × healthcare P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
13.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $22.14 from 41 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $25.16 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 1.8% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.
Dividend-based valuation: $7.58 (71% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify