HF Sinclair Corporation logo DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 9
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $68.89 DETAILS
HIGH: $81.00
LOW: $53.00
MEDIAN: $69.00
CONSENSUS: $68.89
DOWNSIDE: 1.46%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C+ 58.2 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
C 51.7
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 11.2% 66/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.09 pp/yr 18/100
Contributes 7.8 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
C 52.3
  • 5yr Avg ROE 12.7% 72/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 3.5% 15/100
Contributes 5.2 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
C- 49.4
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 9.9% 80/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -2.1% 16/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 2.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
B- 65.9
  • 5yr FCF Margin 3.5% 43/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.34x 94/100
Contributes 16.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
B+ 75.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 1.21x 82/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 4.37x 59/100
  • Altman Z-Score 3.39 86/100
Contributes 19.0 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D 35.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.71 13/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 7.2 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 added; 3 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
-18.6%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.