Dine Brands Global, Inc. logo DIN - Dine Brands Global, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 20
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $34.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $38.00
LOW: $28.00
MEDIAN: $37.00
CONSENSUS: $34.33
UPSIDE: 11.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.4% below fair value
Current Price $30.86
Bear Case $69.44 125.0% upside ($69.44 - $30.86) / $30.86 = 125.0% $4.96 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $84.32 173.2% upside ($84.32 - $30.86) / $30.86 = 173.2% $4.96 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $99.20 221.5% upside ($99.20 - $30.86) / $30.86 = 221.5% $4.96 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
4.96$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.96, the base-case value is $84.32 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $34.33
Analyst Range $28.00 – $38.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 146%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 343%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $34.33 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 146% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples