DHT Holdings, Inc. logo DHT - DHT Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $18.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $18.00
CONSENSUS: $18.00
UPSIDE: 3.57%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.7% below fair value
Current Price $17.38
Bear Case $15.39 11.4% downside ($15.39 - $17.38) / $17.38 = -11.4% $1.31 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $19.24 10.7% upside ($19.24 - $17.38) / $17.38 = 10.7% $1.31 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $23.08 32.8% upside ($23.08 - $17.38) / $17.38 = 32.8% $1.31 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.31$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $18.00 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $19.24 per share.

Warnings

The company pays out 112% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples