Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. logo DHIL - Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc.

Inactive Ticker DHIL is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- --
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 57.0% below fair value
Current Price $174.99
Bear Case $285.01 62.9% upside ($285.01 - $174.99) / $174.99 = 62.9% ROTCE 20.0% → 3.62x TBV
Fair Value $407.16 132.7% upside ($407.16 - $174.99) / $174.99 = 132.7% ROTCE 25.0% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $529.31 202.5% upside ($529.31 - $174.99) / $174.99 = 202.5% ROTCE 30.0% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

27.6%
8.4%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (27.6%) vs. cost of equity (8.4%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.68x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 27.6% vs. 8.4% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 4.00x on $65.23 tangible book, implying $407.16 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly