Easterly Government Properties, Inc. logo DEA - Easterly Government Properties, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $27.00
LOW: $24.00
MEDIAN: $26.50
CONSENSUS: $26.00
UPSIDE: 12.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Office REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 34.1% below fair value
Current Price $23.08
Bear Case $26.93 16.7% upside ($26.93 - $23.08) / $23.08 = 16.7% $2.69 FFO × 10x
Fair Value $35.00 51.7% upside ($35.00 - $23.08) / $23.08 = 51.7% $2.69 FFO × 13x
Bull Case $43.08 86.7% upside ($43.08 - $23.08) / $23.08 = 86.7% $2.69 FFO × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

13.0x
2.69$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($2.69) × office P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 8.6x

Plain-Language Summary

At $2.69 FFO/share with a 13x office REIT multiple, the base-case value is $35.00 per share. Dividend yield: 7.8%.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $26.00
Analyst Range $24.00 – $27.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 35%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
⚠ Dividend yield of 7.8% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $26.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 35% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify