AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Deere & Company's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag DE as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Deere & Company's fair value?

Fair value for DE is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value DE?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from DE's most recent reported fundamentals.

DE - Deere & Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $691.58 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild

Trading 7.2% above fair value

Current Price $589.48

Bear Case $444.99 24.5% downside ($444.99 - $589.48) / $589.48 = -24.5% $23.28 × 20x + net cash

Fair Value $549.69 6.8% downside ($549.69 - $589.48) / $589.48 = -6.8% $23.28 × 24x + net cash

Bull Case $654.39 11.0% upside ($654.39 - $589.48) / $589.48 = 11.0% $23.28 × 28x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

Cycle P/E Multiple

24.0x

Normalized EPS

23.28$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($23.28)

Implied Market Multiple 25.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $691.58 from 46 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $549.69 per share.

Warnings

⚠ This company has a built-in lending arm whose debt is mixed in with the main business. We capped the debt adjustment to avoid overstating what the core business owes.

⚠ Price-to-book value of 7.8x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $691.58 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 29% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing