3D Systems Corporation logo DDD - 3D Systems Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 21
SELL 8
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $5.00
LOW: $5.00
MEDIAN: $5.00
CONSENSUS: $5.00
UPSIDE: 80.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 22.3% below fair value
Current Price $2.77
Bear Case $2.85 3.0% upside ($2.85 - $2.77) / $2.77 = 3.0% $0.20 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $3.56 28.7% upside ($3.56 - $2.77) / $2.77 = 28.7% $0.20 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $4.28 54.4% upside ($4.28 - $2.77) / $2.77 = 54.4% $0.20 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.2$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $5.00 from 36 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $3.56 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $5.00 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 41% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples