3D Systems Corporation logo DDD - 3D Systems Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 7
HOLD 21
SELL 8
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $5.00
LOW: $5.00
MEDIAN: $5.00
CONSENSUS: $5.00
UPSIDE: 58.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.8% below fair value
Current Price $3.15
Bear Case $2.86 9.2% downside ($2.86 - $3.15) / $3.15 = -9.2% $0.20 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $3.57 13.4% upside ($3.57 - $3.15) / $3.15 = 13.4% $0.20 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $4.30 36.4% upside ($4.30 - $3.15) / $3.15 = 36.4% $0.20 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.2$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $5.00 from 36 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $3.57 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $5.00 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 41% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples