DuPont de Nemours, Inc. logo DD - DuPont de Nemours, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 16
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $56.38 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $52.00
MEDIAN: $57.50
CONSENSUS: $56.38
DOWNSIDE: 57.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.0% below fair value
Current Price $132.66
Bear Case $171.21 29.1% upside ($171.21 - $132.66) / $132.66 = 29.1% $13.15 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $214.01 61.3% upside ($214.01 - $132.66) / $132.66 = 61.3% $13.15 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $256.81 93.6% upside ($256.81 - $132.66) / $132.66 = 93.6% $13.15 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.4x
13.15$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $56.38 from 41 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $214.01 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $56.38 (from 41 analysts). Our estimate is 399% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples