DuPont de Nemours, Inc. logo DD - DuPont de Nemours, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 16
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $56.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $52.00
MEDIAN: $58.00
CONSENSUS: $56.86
UPSIDE: 18.16%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.9% below fair value
Current Price $48.12
Bear Case $66.20 37.6% upside ($66.20 - $48.12) / $48.12 = 37.6% $4.38 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $82.75 72.0% upside ($82.75 - $48.12) / $48.12 = 72.0% $4.38 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $99.30 106.4% upside ($99.30 - $48.12) / $48.12 = 106.4% $4.38 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.4x
4.38$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $56.86 from 41 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $82.75 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $56.86 (from 41 analysts). Our estimate is 65% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples