DuPont de Nemours, Inc. logo DD - DuPont de Nemours, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 23
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $95.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $172.00
LOW: $53.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $95.00
DOWNSIDE: 27.38%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.9% below fair value
Current Price $130.82
Bear Case $134.06 2.5% upside ($134.06 - $130.82) / $130.82 = 2.5% $7.82 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $167.57 28.1% upside ($167.57 - $130.82) / $130.82 = 28.1% $7.82 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $201.09 53.7% upside ($201.09 - $130.82) / $130.82 = 53.7% $7.82 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.4x
7.82$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.82, the base-case value is $167.57 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (41 analysts) $95.00
Analyst Range $53.00 – $172.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 76%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $95.00 (from 41 analysts). Our estimate is 76% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples