DigitalBridge Group, Inc. logo DBRG - DigitalBridge Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $36.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $16.00
CONSENSUS: $21.00
UPSIDE: 33.29%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 17.9% below fair value
Current Price $15.76
Bear Case $13.43 14.8% downside ($13.43 - $15.76) / $15.76 = -14.8% ROTCE 6.7% → 0.32x TBV
Fair Value $19.18 21.8% upside ($19.18 - $15.76) / $15.76 = 21.8% ROTCE 8.9% → 0.59x TBV
Bull Case $24.94 58.3% upside ($24.94 - $15.76) / $15.76 = 58.3% ROTCE 10.2% → 0.75x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

8.9%
12.3%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (8.9%) vs. cost of equity (12.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $21.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $19.18 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (8.9%) is below the minimum investors require (12.3%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly