Dave Inc. logo DAVE - Dave Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $339.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $345.00
LOW: $332.00
MEDIAN: $342.00
CONSENSUS: $339.67
UPSIDE: 48.68%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.8% below fair value
Current Price $228.46
Bear Case $285.14 24.8% upside ($285.14 - $228.46) / $228.46 = 24.8% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $392.24 71.7% upside ($392.24 - $228.46) / $228.46 = 71.7% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $499.80 118.8% upside ($499.80 - $228.46) / $228.46 = 118.8% 14% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 11.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $339.67 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $392.24 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions