DAR - Darling Ingredients Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$70.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$75.00
LOW:
$65.00
MEDIAN:
$70.00
CONSENSUS:
$70.00
UPSIDE:
11.86%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.9x
3.9$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
16.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.90, the base-case value is $77.72 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (25 analysts)
$70.00
Analyst Range
$65.00 – $75.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
11%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 900%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples