Daktronics, Inc. logo DAKT - Daktronics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $26.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $26.00
CONSENSUS: $26.00
UPSIDE: 24.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 824.6% above fair value
Current Price $20.89
Bear Case $1.81 91.3% downside ($1.81 - $20.89) / $20.89 = -91.3% $0.15 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $2.26 89.2% downside ($2.26 - $20.89) / $20.89 = -89.2% $0.15 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $2.71 87.0% downside ($2.71 - $20.89) / $20.89 = -87.0% $0.15 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.15$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 138.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.15, the base-case value is $2.26 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples