Dominion Energy, Inc. logo D - Dominion Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 19
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.71 DETAILS
HIGH: $76.00
LOW: $67.00
MEDIAN: $71.00
CONSENSUS: $70.71
DOWNSIDE: 0.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 15.2% above fair value
Current Price $71.08
Bear Case $53.97 24.1% downside ($53.97 - $71.08) / $71.08 = -24.1% $3.61 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $61.68 13.2% downside ($61.68 - $71.08) / $71.08 = -13.2% $3.61 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $69.39 2.4% downside ($69.39 - $71.08) / $71.08 = -2.4% $3.61 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
3.61$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $70.71 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $61.68 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $38.52 (below our primary estimate by 33%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples