Dominion Energy, Inc. logo D - Dominion Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 19
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $67.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $72.00
LOW: $64.00
MEDIAN: $67.50
CONSENSUS: $67.50
DOWNSIDE: 0.25%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 11.5% above fair value
Current Price $67.67
Bear Case $53.12 21.5% downside ($53.12 - $67.67) / $67.67 = -21.5% $3.61 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $60.72 10.3% downside ($60.72 - $67.67) / $67.67 = -10.3% $3.61 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $68.31 0.9% upside ($68.31 - $67.67) / $67.67 = 0.9% $3.61 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
3.61$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 18.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $67.50 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $60.72 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $38.52 (below our primary estimate by 33%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples