D - Dominion Energy, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$71.56
DETAILS
HIGH:
$80.00
LOW:
$66.00
MEDIAN:
$71.00
CONSENSUS:
$71.56
UPSIDE:
8.06%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
3.45$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.45, the base-case value is $55.20 per share. DDM cross-check: $38.52.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$71.56
Analyst Range
$66.00 – $80.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
23%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $38.52 (below our primary estimate by 30%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples