Caesars Entertainment, Inc. logo CZR - Caesars Entertainment, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 10
HOLD 20
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $31.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $31.00
CONSENSUS: $31.13
UPSIDE: 4.31%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 219.6% above fair value
Current Price $29.84
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $29.84) / $29.84 = -100.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $9.34 68.7% downside ($9.34 - $29.84) / $29.84 = -68.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $29.84) / $29.84 = -100.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 30%
Implied Market Multiple 47.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 22.6% vs our 4.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $31.13 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $9.34 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $31.13 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions