Caesars Entertainment, Inc. logo CZR - Caesars Entertainment, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 17
HOLD 12
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $30.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $36.00
LOW: $24.00
MEDIAN: $34.00
CONSENSUS: $30.57
UPSIDE: 7.38%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 210.4% above fair value
Current Price $28.47
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $28.47) / $28.47 = -100.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $9.17 67.8% downside ($9.17 - $28.47) / $28.47 = -67.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $28.47) / $28.47 = -100.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 30%
Implied Market Multiple 47.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $30.57 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $9.17 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $30.57 (from 30 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions