Caesars Entertainment, Inc. logo CZR - Caesars Entertainment, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 9
HOLD 21
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $31.11 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $31.00
CONSENSUS: $31.11
UPSIDE: 4.85%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.0% above fair value
Current Price $29.67
Bear Case $15.45 47.9% downside ($15.45 - $29.67) / $29.67 = -47.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $25.58 13.8% downside ($25.58 - $29.67) / $29.67 = -13.8% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $38.86 31.0% upside ($38.86 - $29.67) / $29.67 = 31.0% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 29%
Implied Market Multiple 12.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 4.4% vs our 4.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $25.58 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $31.11
Analyst Range $26.00 – $34.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 18%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions