Caesars Entertainment, Inc. logo CZR - Caesars Entertainment, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 9
HOLD 21
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $30.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $31.00
CONSENSUS: $30.75
UPSIDE: 6.77%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 20.4% above fair value
Current Price $28.80
Bear Case $15.44 46.4% downside ($15.44 - $28.80) / $28.80 = -46.4% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $23.92 16.9% downside ($23.92 - $28.80) / $28.80 = -16.9% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $36.50 26.7% upside ($36.50 - $28.80) / $28.80 = 26.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 29%
Implied Market Multiple 12.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 4.3% vs our 3.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $23.92 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $30.75
Analyst Range $26.00 – $34.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 22%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions