Cryoport, Inc. logo CYRX - Cryoport, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.79 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $13.50
MEDIAN: $19.00
CONSENSUS: $18.79
UPSIDE: 13.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.5% below fair value
Current Price $16.57
Bear Case $24.77 49.5% upside ($24.77 - $16.57) / $16.57 = 49.5% $1.40 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $30.96 86.9% upside ($30.96 - $16.57) / $16.57 = 86.9% $1.40 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $37.16 124.2% upside ($37.16 - $16.57) / $16.57 = 124.2% $1.40 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.1x
1.4$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.40, the base-case value is $30.96 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $18.79
Analyst Range $13.50 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 65%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $18.79 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 65% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples