Cryoport, Inc. logo CYRX - Cryoport, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $15.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $16.00
CONSENSUS: $15.75
DOWNSIDE: 2.60%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 47.4% below fair value
Current Price $16.17
Bear Case $24.60 52.1% upside ($24.60 - $16.17) / $16.17 = 52.1% $1.62 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $30.75 90.2% upside ($30.75 - $16.17) / $16.17 = 90.2% $1.62 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $36.90 128.2% upside ($36.90 - $16.17) / $16.17 = 128.2% $1.62 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.1x
1.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $15.75 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $30.75 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $15.75 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 127% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples