Crane NXT, Co. logo CXT - Crane NXT, Co.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $67.00
LOW: $52.00
MEDIAN: $61.50
CONSENSUS: $60.50
UPSIDE: 45.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 19.4% below fair value
Current Price $41.45
Bear Case $41.14 0.7% downside ($41.14 - $41.45) / $41.45 = -0.7% $3.28 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $51.41 24.0% upside ($51.41 - $41.45) / $41.45 = 24.0% $3.28 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $61.70 48.9% upside ($61.70 - $41.45) / $41.45 = 48.9% $3.28 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.28$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $60.50 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $51.41 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 31%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples