CX - CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$13.81
DETAILS
HIGH:
$15.00
LOW:
$12.75
MEDIAN:
$14.00
CONSENSUS:
$13.81
UPSIDE:
6.48%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
6.4%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (6% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
36%
Implied Market Multiple
19.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
8.3%
vs our 6.4% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.81 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $11.47 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions