Casella Waste Systems, Inc. logo CWST - Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 10
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $113.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $122.00
LOW: $104.00
MEDIAN: $113.00
CONSENSUS: $113.00
UPSIDE: 20.82%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

D+ 43.3 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
F 22.6
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 3.1% 25/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.20 pp/yr 16/100
Contributes 5.7 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
F 22.3
  • 5yr Avg ROE 4.8% 34/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 5.3% 0/100
Contributes 3.3 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
B- 64.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 18.9% 98/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -42.2% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 16.0 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
C+ 59.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 6.1% 54/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 4.54x 65/100
Contributes 11.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
D+ 43.0
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.83x 53/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 1.22x 16/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.49 57/100
Contributes 4.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
D+ 43.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.88 5/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
Contributes 2.2 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

1 of 1 gurus held; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
1
Avg Δ position
-4.0%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.