Carvana Co. logo CVNA - Carvana Co.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 21
HOLD 22
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
1
| PRICE TARGET: $84.55 DETAILS
HIGH: $120.00
LOW: $67.00
MEDIAN: $82.00
CONSENSUS: $84.55
UPSIDE: 28.36%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

F 30.0 / 100 pillar composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

⚠ 2 of the last 5 fiscal years showed negative net income — AlphaQuality will not grade above F for persistent unprofitability in a platform & compounding fcf business.

Grade overrides the 30.0 pillar composite because hard gates always win. Use the pillar breakdown below to see where the underlying numbers sit.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
D 35.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC -1.4% 7/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +3.84 pp/yr 100/100
Contributes 8.7 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B- 65.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 49.7% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 28.1% 0/100
Contributes 9.8 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
A+ 93.8
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 29.5% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 23.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
D 37.8
  • 5yr FCF Margin -4.2% 4/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 2.05x 79/100
Contributes 7.6 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
F 25.0
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 10.00x 0/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) -0.76x 0/100
  • Altman Z-Score 6.72 100/100
Contributes 2.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
D+ 40.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 1.17 0/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 2.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

6 of 6 gurus held; 1 new buy; 5 added; 2 full exits.

Holders
6 +1
Avg Δ position
+364.2%
New buys
1
Full exits
2
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.