Cousins Properties Incorporated logo CUZ - Cousins Properties Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $32.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $35.00
LOW: $27.00
MEDIAN: $33.50
CONSENSUS: $32.25
UPSIDE: 8.95%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Office REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 3.7% below fair value
Current Price $29.60
Bear Case $24.10 18.6% downside ($24.10 - $29.60) / $29.60 = -18.6% $2.77 FFO × 10x
Fair Value $30.74 3.9% upside ($30.74 - $29.60) / $29.60 = 3.9% $2.77 FFO × 13x
Bull Case $37.39 26.3% upside ($37.39 - $29.60) / $29.60 = 26.3% $2.77 FFO × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

13.0x
2.77$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($2.77) × office P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 10.7x

Plain-Language Summary

At $2.77 FFO/share with a 13x office REIT multiple, the base-case value is $30.74 per share. Dividend yield: 4.3%. DDM cross-check: $18.47.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (16 analysts) $32.25
Analyst Range $27.00 – $35.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 5%

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $18.47 (40% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify