Cousins Properties Incorporated logo CUZ - Cousins Properties Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $34.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $35.00
LOW: $33.00
MEDIAN: $34.00
CONSENSUS: $34.00
UPSIDE: 23.10%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Office REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 10.2% below fair value
Current Price $27.62
Bear Case $24.10 12.8% downside ($24.10 - $27.62) / $27.62 = -12.8% $2.77 FFO × 10x
Fair Value $30.74 11.3% upside ($30.74 - $27.62) / $27.62 = 11.3% $2.77 FFO × 13x
Bull Case $37.39 35.4% upside ($37.39 - $27.62) / $27.62 = 35.4% $2.77 FFO × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

13.0x
2.77$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($2.77) × office P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 10.0x

Plain-Language Summary

At $2.77 FFO/share with a 13x office REIT multiple, the base-case value is $30.74 per share. Dividend yield: 4.6%. DDM cross-check: $18.47.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (16 analysts) $34.00
Analyst Range $33.00 – $35.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $18.47 (40% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify