CUZ - Cousins Properties Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$34.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$35.00
LOW:
$33.00
MEDIAN:
$34.00
CONSENSUS:
$34.00
UPSIDE:
23.10%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Office REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
13.0x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($2.77) × office P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
10.0x
Plain-Language Summary
At $2.77 FFO/share with a 13x office REIT multiple, the base-case value is $30.74 per share. Dividend yield: 4.6%. DDM cross-check: $18.47.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$34.00
Analyst Range
$33.00 – $35.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
10%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $18.47 (40% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify