CURB - Curbline Properties Corp.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$34.40
DETAILS
HIGH:
$39.00
LOW:
$30.00
MEDIAN:
$34.00
CONSENSUS:
$34.40
UPSIDE:
19.20%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.5x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($0.93) × retail P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
31.2x
Plain-Language Summary
At $0.93 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $16.54 per share. Dividend yield: 2.4%. DDM cross-check: $13.05.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$34.40
Analyst Range
$30.00 – $39.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
52%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $34.40 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify