CURB - Curbline Properties Corp.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$34.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$39.00
LOW:
$30.00
MEDIAN:
$35.00
CONSENSUS:
$34.75
UPSIDE:
17.08%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.5x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($0.98) × retail P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
30.4x
Plain-Language Summary
At $0.98 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $17.18 per share. Dividend yield: 2.3%. DDM cross-check: $12.86.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$34.75
Analyst Range
$30.00 – $39.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
51%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $12.86 (25% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $34.75 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 51% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify